TFP Bureau Special Report, Dec 04, 2023: In a dramatic turn of events, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has secured an overwhelming victory in Chhattisgarh, defying the predictions of political analysts who, until a month ago, foresaw a different outcome. The BJP is poised to claim 54 out of the 90 seats in the Chhattisgarh Legislative Assembly, marking a triumphant return to power after a five-year hiatus.
The state, which witnessed BJP’s 15-year rule until 2018, experienced a surprising electoral shift, culminating in a humiliating defeat for the Congress, which now faces a reduced share of 35 seats, nearly half of its current representation.
Factors Behind Congress’s Setback
The unexpected setback for the Congress can be attributed to several factors. Despite maintaining its vote share, the party faced a formidable challenge from the BJP, particularly as the Janta Congress Chhattisgarh (Jogi) witnessed a significant decline, securing a mere 1.22% compared to its 2018 performance of around 7%. The split in votes seems to have favored the BJP, elevating its vote share to over 46%.
BJP’s Strategic Moves
The BJP’s success in Chhattisgarh is not merely a consequence of the voters’ shift but also a result of a well-executed strategy by the party’s managers. In the lead-up to the elections, the BJP strategically projected an image of conceding defeat, creating a false sense of security within the Congress ranks.
The last month witnessed a sudden shift in the BJP’s approach, unleashing an aggressive campaign that left the Congress struggling to respond effectively. The BJP’s welfare scheme for married women, offering Rs 12,000 annually, overshadowed the Congress’s announcement of Rs 15,000. The BJP effectively tapped into the sentiments of women voters, gaining significant influence.
Modi’s Aggressive Campaign
Prime Minister Narendra Modi played a pivotal role in the BJP’s resurgence, leading an aggressive campaign that targeted Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel and the Congress government. Modi adeptly brought to light sensitive issues, including alleged scams, such as irregularities in Public Service Commission exams, coal scam, liquor scam, and online betting.
By addressing these concerns directly in election meetings, Modi successfully appealed to various sections of society, including youths and the elite. The BJP’s well-coordinated efforts over the last month, coupled with the Congress’s internal challenges, created a perfect storm for the BJP’s resurgence.
Congress Struggles Amidst Internal Discord
While the BJP gained momentum, the Congress found itself grappling with internal dissent triggered by ticket distribution issues. The party faced challenges on two fronts – contending with the BJP’s aggressive campaign and managing internal rivalries. The Congress, plagued by infighting, struggled to mount an effective response in the crucial weeks leading up to the elections.
Political pundits have suggested that sabotage from within the party may have played a role, as heavyweight Congress leaders faced the prospect of a humiliating defeat, adding a layer of complexity to the party’s electoral strategy.
As Chhattisgarh braces for a new political era under the BJP’s renewed leadership, the 2023 election results underscore the dynamic nature of Indian democracy and the importance of strategic political maneuvers in shaping electoral outcomes.
